It's been almost six months since covert 19 was declared a public health emergency and this is what's happening the pandemic continues to accelerate in the past six weeks the total number of cases has roughly doubled so let's take a detailed look at the pandemic how it's escalating and also how it's being tackled and we should start with some headline statistics.
There are over 640 000 confirmed fatalities and more than 16 million confirmed cases worldwide and look at the infection rate. It took 38 days to go from zero cases to (5 to 10) million confirmed cases and then it took only 24 days to reach 10 to 15 million cases and the last million confirmed cases took four days. so the infection rate is increasing and you can see the global story of the pandemic.
In these graphs the virus was first identified in china then major outbreaks in europe and north america in april as they began to ease in world america and asia saw significant outbreaks of their own and while europe's case numbers have largely continued to fall north america has seen a resurgence of infections mostly in the u.s and latin america is now the epicenter of the pandemic with brazil by far the worst affected country there and despite the complexity of this pandemic .
The world health organization says in some ways that this is a simple challenge- find, isolate ,test, care for cases,trace and quarantine, keep your contacts distance from others, clean your hands ,avoid crowded and enclosed areas and wear a mask were recommended where these measures will make cases go down and where it will never let to increase the cases.
Now we've often featured analysis on outside source that says that the real end of the problem will come when there's a vaccine found but now we have a proof against that too ,the virologist claus store played a key role for the world health organization during the sars pandemic in the 2000s he said that majority of the world population will not receive a vaccine. the virus will continue to spread it could take two to three years before the virus has affected a large majority of the population he is goes on say that "it's not the vaccine that's going to end the pandemic the virus will end this pandemic by burning every piece of dry wood . The fire will not go out before the last susceptible person has been affected and he's spoken to the bbc news that today eighty percent of the global vaccine production is located in european countries .there's also of course in the us ,india has a significant vaccine production but it will not suffice to immunize that many people to produce a vaccine first and later on immunity that many people before the virus would have spread globally to almost every person by most likely end of next year or in two years time now around a quarter of all confirmed cases of covert 19 are in the u.s close to 150 000 people have died there because of it and the numbers continue to worsen both in terms of reported cases and deaths florida louisiana and mississippi are a particular focus between four and 500 people per million are confirmed to have the virus every day in those states and for context most states in the u.s are below 200 for the equivalent statistic.
The graph from the times shows that infection rates in california are also heading in the wrong direction while judging the impact on the u.s economy to some degree depends on where you look much has been made of the gap between wall street and main street and this is why when the scale of the virus became clear markets tumbled in march but since then major u.s companies like those listed on the s p 500 have seen their share value recover in quite some fashion that may be connected to the over two trillion dollars of emergency spending that congress approved .
The graph from june, we know there are around 30 million people claiming unemployment but unless new deals were signed it will continue. By the end of this week U. S economy will drop to a hundred and fifty dollars a week and of course that will impact directly on people's lives in many ways it will also significantly reduce the money they're able to spend in the u.s economy .
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